[SMM Nickel Midday Review] Nickel prices fluctuated rangebound on December 2, as the US November ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.2.

Published: Dec 2, 2025 11:47

SMM Nickel December 2 News:

Macro and Market News:

(1) The US November ISM Manufacturing PMI was 48.2, missing market expectations of 49, marking the ninth consecutive month in contraction territory.

(2) A spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that, at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, French President Macron will pay a state visit to China from December 3 to 5.

Spot Market:

On December 2, SMM #1 refined nickel prices were 117,200-122,600 yuan/mt, with an average price of 119,900 yuan/mt, up 150 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The mainstream spot premium quotation range for Jinchuan #1 refined nickel was 4,800-5,000 yuan/mt, with an average premium of 4,900 yuan/mt, up 100 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The spot premiums and discounts quotation range for mainstream domestic electrodeposited nickel brands was -150-400 yuan/mt.

Futures Market:

The most-traded SHFE nickel contract (2601) settled up 0.26% at 117,790 yuan/mt; after opening in the morning session, prices dropped back slightly, settling at 117,560 yuan/mt by the midday close, up 0.07%.

The US November ISM Manufacturing PMI data fell short of expectations, contracting for the ninth consecutive month, leading market expectations for a US Fed interest rate cut in December to surge significantly to 87%. Nickel prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term with lingering long-term pressure; the price range for the most-traded SHFE nickel contract is projected at 114,000-118,000 yuan/mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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